nber recession indicator sorted by
relevance

Admin15.08.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

Searching the Internet for the word "recession" can leave your head spinning, as economists deliberate which signs truly reveal that our economy has started slumping.
Admin08.07.2021

GDP

The first interpretation, known as the midpoint method, is to show a recession from the midpoint of the peak through the midpoint of the trough for monthly and quarterly data.
Admin21.08.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

Each line is the implied recession probability from a single SPF over that SPF's forecast horizon, generated by a logit estimated with real-time data available at the time of that SPF's publication.
200
Admin07.07.2021

NBER Recession Indicators

For example, the NBER dates the last cycle peak as December 2007, the trough as June 2009 and the duration as 18 months.
1806
Admin07.08.2021

Recession

While the question lacks a definitive answer, certain signs do signal that we're headed into a downturn.
83010
Admin07.09.2021

NBER Recession Indicators

The most comprehensive expenditure-based monthly measure of aggregate production is monthly real personal consumption expenditures PCE , published by the BEA.
402
Admin20.06.2021

GDP

With three indicators improving in May, all 12 underlying signals on the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard are flashing green, consistent with a robust economic backdrop.
502
Admin08.08.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (FRED:USREC) — Historical Data and Chart — TradingView

The recession shading data that we provide initially comes from the source as a list of dates that are either an economic peak or trough.
2205
Admin21.07.2021

It's official: The Covid recession lasted just two months, the shortest in U.S. history

Now let's look at the 1972-1985 period, which included three recessions -- the savage 16-month Oil Embargo recession of 1973-1975 and the double dip of 1980 and 1981-1982 6-months and 16-months, respectively.
8007